宏观经济变量与美国经济危机对印尼lq45指数的影响

J. Setiadi, Erni Masdupi
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摘要

本研究旨在确定宏观经济变量(通货膨胀、经济增长、利率、汇率)和美国经济危机同时或部分地对印度尼西亚证券交易所LQ 45指数的影响。本研究的样本使用lq45股票价格指数2007 - 2018年的月度数据。本研究使用的数据类型为二手数据。本研究的数据分析采用多元线性回归分析。本研究结果表明,宏观经济变量(通货膨胀、经济增长、利率、汇率)和美国经济危机同时显著影响LQ 45指数。本研究的部分结果表明,通货膨胀对lq45指数的影响不显著。经济增长对lq45指数有显著的正向影响。利率对lq45指数有显著的负面影响。汇率对lq45指数有显著的正向影响。美国经济危机对LQ 45指数有显著的负面影响。
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The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables and United States Economic Crisis on LQ 45 Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange
This study aims to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables (inflation, economic growth, interest rates, exchange rates) and United States economic crisis both simultaneously and partially to the LQ 45 Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample in this study uses the LQ 45 Stock Price Index data in the period 2007 to 2018 with monthly data. The type of data used in this study is secondary data. Data analysis in this study uses multiple linear regression analysis.The results of this study indicate that simultaneously macroeconomic variables (inflation, economic growth, interest rates, exchange rates) and the United States economic crisis significantly influence the LQ 45 Index. Partially the results of this study indicate that inflation does not significantly influence the LQ 45 Index. Economic growth has a positive and significant effect on the LQ 45 Index. Interest rates negatively and significantly affect the LQ 45 Index. The exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the LQ 45 Index. The United States economic crisis has a negative and significant influence on the LQ 45 Index.
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