基于四参数Logistic模型的药理学数据分析中纳入随机效应的影响

M. Yamada, C. Hamada, I. Yoshimura
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摘要

在选择候选化学物质用于药物开发的后期阶段,使用动物器官或人外周血细胞进行药理学实验。在这些实验中,数据分析往往是在混合效应模型的基础上进行的,以便将个体效应纳入到剂量-反应关系中。本文研究了一个用于分析的逻辑模型中加入随机效应对参数的影响,假设剂量-反应关系确实是由一个四参数逻辑模型描述的。通过蒙特卡罗模拟实验,比较了8种混合效应模型的性能。在8种分析模型中,分别采用标准两阶段法(STS)、一阶近似法(FOA)、拉普拉斯近似法(LAP)、蒙特卡罗积分法(MCI)和高斯正交法(GAU) 5种计算方法对模拟数据进行处理。以可估计性和估计与真实值的偏差为标准,对8种分析模型和5种估计方法进行了比较。结果表明,考虑随机效应的分析模型只对最大响应是最好的。结果还表明,FOA、LAP、MCI和GAU方法对该分析模型的性能几乎相同。作者推荐LAP作为首选方法,因为它的计算简单。
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Influence of Random Effects Incorporated in the Analysis of Pharmacological Data Based on a Four-parameter Logistic Model
In the later phases of selecting candidate chemicals for drug development, pharmacological experiments are conducted using animal organs or human peripheral blood cells. In these experiments, data analysis is often performed on the basis of mixed-effect models so that the individuality effect can be incorporated in the dose-response relationship. This paper studied the influence of the incorporation of random effects on parameters in a logistic model intended for analysis, with the assumption that the dose-response relationship is really described by a four-parameter logistic model. Using Monte-Carlo simulation experiments, we compared the performances of eight models in which various mixed-effects were incorporated. In each of the eight analysis models, five methods of calculation, namely, the standard two-stage method (STS), first-order approximation method (FOA), Laplacian approximation method (LAP), Monte Carlo integration method (MCI), and Gaussian quadrature method (GAU), were applied to the simulation data. The eight analysis models and five estimation methods were compared, using estimability and the deviation of estimates from the true value as the criteria. The results revealed the analysis model incorporating the random effect on only the maximum response to be the best. The results also indicated that the FOA, LAP, MCI, and GAU methods had almost the same performances for this analysis model. The authors recommend LAP as the preferred method because of the simplicity of its calculation.
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