封锁还是不封锁:从基督城和惠灵顿的经验中吸取了震后封锁的内在复杂性

S. Shrestha, Caroline Orchiston, K. Elwood, D. Johnston, J. Becker
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引用次数: 5

摘要

使用震后警戒线作为一种工具来支持事件发生后的应急管理人员,这在世界各地都有记录。然而,试图了解警戒线一旦应用的内在复杂性,特别是长期影响和后果的研究有限。本研究旨在通过详细了解警戒线、警戒线的管理以及警戒线在震后环境中的影响来填补这一空白。我们采用定性方法,通过对两个城市的案例研究来了解警戒线,这两个城市在不同的时空尺度上使用警戒线:新西兰的克赖斯特彻奇(M6.3, 2011年2月)和惠灵顿(M7.8, Kaikōura, 2016年11月)。数据是通过对直接或间接参与决策作用和/或对封锁过程有影响的参与者进行有目的和滚雪球抽样获得的21个关键信息提供者访谈收集的。与会者来自不同的背景和角色,即应急管理人员、理事会成员、企业代表、保险代表、警察和通信管理人员。我们发现警戒线主要是作为一种工具来控制进出,目的是为了生命安全和保障,但警戒线也可以用于支持恢复。总的来说,我们的分析表明了两个关键方面,“决策”和“运营和管理”,它们作为复杂系统的一部分重叠和相互作用。潜在的复杂性在很大程度上是由于受警戒线影响的众多部门:经济、法律、政治、治理、疏散、公民自由、可用资源等。随着隔离时间的延长,复杂性进一步增加。
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To cordon or not to cordon: The inherent complexities of post-earthquake cordoning learned from Christchurch and Wellington experiences
The use of post-earthquake cordons as a tool to support emergency managers after an event has been documented around the world. However, there is limited research that attempts to understand the inherent complexities of cordoning once applied, particularly the longer-term impacts and consequences. This research aims to fill the gap by providing a detailed understanding of cordons, their management, and the implications of cordoning in a post-earthquake environment. We use a qualitative method to understand cordons through case studies of two cities where cordons were used at different temporal and spatial scales: Christchurch (M6.3, February 2011) and Wellington (M7.8 in Kaikōura, November 2016), New Zealand. Data was collected through 21 key informant interviews obtained through purposive and snowball sampling of participants who were directly or indirectly involved in a decision-making role and/or had influence in relation to the cordoning process. The participants were from varying backgrounds and roles i.e. emergency managers, council members, business representatives, insurance representatives, police, and communication managers. We find that cordons are used primarily as a tool to control access for the purpose of life safety and security, but cordons can also be adapted to support recovery. Broadly, our analysis suggests two key aspects, ‘decision-making’ and ‘operations and management’, which overlap and interact as part of a complex system. The underlying complexity arises in large part due to the multitude of sectors affected by cordons: economics, law, politics, governance, evacuation, civil liberties, available resources etc. The complexity further increases as the duration of cordoning is extended.
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