制裁后伊拉克经济中石油部门的前景

Imad Jabir
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引用次数: 0

摘要

伊拉克不应以牺牲其他经济部门为代价来依赖其石油部门。然而,这不应被理解为要求减少石油产量。伊拉克石油出口可以发挥重要作用,为伊拉克工业和农业部门的发展提供必要的资本,以便增加这些部门对实际国内生产总值的贡献。整个伊拉克经济,包括石油部门,必须以某种程度上对外国直接投资开放的方式进行组织。伊拉克应该瞄准更高的石油出口收入,因此它将有能力在最多25年内偿还外债。较高的石油出口收入可以通过适度的价格政策和更快的石油生产增长来获得。
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The Prospects for the Oil Sector in the Iraqi Economy after Sanctions
Iraq should not depend on its oil sector at the expense of the other economic sectors. This should not, however, be understood as a request to reduce oil production. Iraqi oil exports can play an important role in providing the capital necessary for the development of Iraq's industrial and agricultural sectors, in order to increase the contribution of these sectors to the real gross domestic product. The whole Iraqi economy, including the oil sector, must be organised in such a way that it becomes open, to some extent, to direct foreign investment. Iraq should target higher oil export revenue, and hence it will be able to pay its foreign debt within 25 years at the most. The higher oil export revenue can be obtained through a policy of moderate prices and faster growth of oil production.
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