谁讨厌中国的政府债务?来自显性偏好的证据

Kang Chen
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引用次数: 2

摘要

控制政府债务似乎是当前中国领导人的首要任务之一,因为近年来债务扩张和积累达到了令人担忧的水平。然而,本文表明政策声明与政策制定者所揭示的偏好之间存在严重的矛盾。这不仅表明政府债务能否得到成功控制,也反映了中国政治经济体制中更为根本的问题。经济结构调整要求金融自由化和提高配置效率,而政治稳定则要求中央集权和加强国家能力。中国领导人在“新时代”面临的艰巨挑战,让“威权韧性”理论经受了真正的考验。
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Who Hates Government Debt in China? Evidence from Revealed Preferences
Controlling government debt seems to be one of the top priorities for current Chinese leaders since debt expansion and accumulation has reached an alarming level in recent years. However, this paper shows that serious contradictions exist between policy statements and revealed preferences of policy makers. These are not only an indication on whether government debt can be successfully controlled, but also a reflection on more fundamental problems in China’s political-economic system. While economic restructuring calls for financial liberalization and allocative efficiency, political stabilization requires centralization and strengthening state capacity. The difficult challenges facing the Chinese leaders in the “New Era” has put the theory of “authoritarian resilience” to the real test.
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