创新项目组合生命周期各阶段形成优化模型的建立

D. Rodionov, T. Mokeeva, I. Aliev
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在现代条件下,企业在投资项目特别是创新型项目时,资源的合理利用是影响企业财务稳定性和竞争力的重要因素之一。同时,由于企业创新项目投资决策的复杂性,有时在不确定性和风险条件下以及外部环境不断变化的情况下无法进行评估,证明企业创新项目投资决策有效性的经典方法都有一些严重的假设。本文致力于使用数学模型作为替代工具来解决按生命周期阶段确定创新项目组合形成的最佳投资金额和时间的问题。建立了从项目生命周期开始到结束阶段投资关系的优化模型。在此基础上,确定了投资项目实施过程的主要特征,包括合理投资量的最小值和最大值,以及项目投资收益和损失的极值。利用Microsoft Excel程序的计算能力对所开发的方法进行了实施。在此基础上,得出了该模型在实际应用中的可行性结论。
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Development of an Optimization Model for the Formation of an Innovative Project Portfolio per Stages of the Life Cycle
In modern conditions, one of the most important factors of financial stability and competitiveness of an enterprise is the rational use of resources when investing in projects, especially those of an innovative nature. At the same time, the classical approaches to substantiating the effectiveness of investment decisions for innovative projects of enterprises have a number of serious assumptions due to the complexity, and sometimes the impossibility of assessment in conditions of uncertainty and risk, as well as a continuously changing external environment. This paper is devoted to the use of mathematical models as alternative tools for solving the problem of substantiating the optimal amount of investment and time spent in the formation of a portfolio of innovative projects by stages of the life cycle. An optimization model for the relationship of investments from the beginning to the end of the project life cycle stages has been developed. On the basis of the developed model, the main characteristics of the process of implementing investment projects have been determined, including the minimum and maximum volumes of rational investment, as well as the extreme values of income and losses from project investment. The implementation of the developed methodology was carried out using the computing capabilities of the Microsoft Excel program. Based on the results obtained, a conclusion was made about the possibility of practical implementation of the developed model.
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