基于大推力情景灾害模型的西爪哇岛Sukabumi Palabuhanratu村海啸疏散疏散路线生成

I. Indira, M. D. Manessa
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摘要

帕拉布汉拉图村是西爪哇苏卡umi的一个村庄,容易受到地震和海啸的影响。本研究拟修订海啸灾情图,对疏散点分布进行空间分析,确定最优的海啸疏散路线。根据PuSGeN对西爪哇南部大逆冲断层潜在震级矩8.8的最坏情况,使用COMCOT海啸建模更新了海啸危险图。这个模型被用来预测最严重的海啸影响。根据疏散点位置的实地调查数据,对疏散点分布进行了评价。此外,还利用服务区分析来评估与帕拉布汉拉图村每个村庄有关的目前疏散地点的服务区。根据这项研究的结果,大约57.33%的城镇可能受到海啸的影响。沿海最大的海啸高度预计在18到22米之间,到达时间为22分钟。从总共35个村庄中,我们确定帕拉布汉拉图村地区的两个村庄没有受到海啸的伤害。由于不是每个人都能及时到达疏散地点,因此本研究的结果表明需要额外的垂直疏散地点。
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Generating Evacuation Route for Tsunami Evacuation Based on Megathrust Scenario Hazard Model in Palabuhanratu Village, Sukabumi, West Java
Palabuhanratu Village is one of the villages in Sukabumi, West Java, that is susceptible to earthquake and tsunami risks. This research intends to revise the tsunami hazard map, undertake a spatial analysis of the distribution of evacuation sites, and identify optimal tsunami evacuation routes. The tsunami hazard map was updated using tsunami modeling with COMCOT based on the worst-case scenario of potential magnitude moment 8.8 for the Megathrust segment in the south of West Java from PuSGeN. This modeling was used to predict the worst probable tsunami impact. On the basis of field survey data regarding the location of evacuation sites, evaluation of the distribution of evacuation sites was conducted. In addition, service area analysis is utilized to assess the service area of the present evacuation site in relation to each hamlet in Palabuhanratu village. Approximately 57.33 percent of the town could be affected by a tsunami, according to the findings of this study. The greatest tsunami height along the coast is expected to be between 18 and 22 meters, and the arrival time is 22 minutes. From a total of 35 hamlets, we determined that two hamlets in the Palabuhanratu village area were not harmed by the tsunami. Because not everyone can reach the evacuation location in time, the findings of this study show the need for an additional vertical evacuation site.
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