石油价格对迪拉姆实际汇率的影响——以阿拉伯联合酋长国为例

Usama Al-mulali, Che Normee Binti Che Sab
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引用次数: 19

摘要

本研究探讨石油冲击对阿拉伯联合酋长国迪拉姆实际汇率的影响。时间序列数据用于1977-2007年期间。通过本研究,我们发现对美元的固定汇率对阿联酋来说并不是一个合适的汇率制度。这是因为当石油价格上涨时,在固定汇率制度下,这将导致阿联酋国内生产总值(gdp)和经济流动性迅速增长。这反过来又导致国内价格上涨,并导致高水平的通货膨胀。
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The Impact of Oil Prices on the Real Exchange Rate of the Dirham: A Case Study of the United Arab Emirates (UAE)
This study investigated the impact of oil shocks on the real exchange rate of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) dirham. Time series data were used for the period 1977–2007. Through this study, it has been found that a fixed exchange rate to the US dollar is not an appropriate exchange rate regime for the UAE. This is because when the price of oil increases, and with a fixed exchange rate regime, this would lead to rapid growth in gross domestic product and liquidity in the UAE economy. This, in turn, causes domestic prices to increase, and results in high levels of inflation.
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