两阶段混合模糊线性回归模型的参数估计

Xiaoli Xu, Pingping Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

结合非线性规划和最小二乘法,提出了一种基于距离准则的两阶段混合模糊线性回归模型。为了保证解释变量为明确数字时,模糊估定值和模糊观测值的误差能够减小,在模糊回归模型中除了有明确的回归系数外,还有一个模糊调整项。首先,基于距离准则建立非线性规划模型,得到解释变量的回归系数,并基于距离准则和最小二乘法得到模糊调整项;与现有的无法确定系数符号的方法相比,该方法可以准确地确定回归系数的符号。最后,通过大量的数值实验和实例验证了该模型比其他模型具有更小的均方误差和更高的可靠性。
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Estimation of parameters for two-stage mixed fuzzy linear regression models
Combining nonlinear programming and least squares method, this paper proposes a two-stage mixed fuzzy linear regression model based on distance criterion. In order to ensure that the error of fuzzy estimated value and fuzzy observation value can be reduced when the explanatory variable is a clear number, the fuzzy regression model has a fuzzy adjustment term in addition to the clear regression coefficient. Firstly, based on the distance criterion, a nonlinear programming model is established to obtain the regression coefficient of the explanatory variables, and the fuzzy adjustment term is obtained based on the distance criterion and the least square method. Compared with the existing methods that cannot determine the sign of the coefficient, the method can accurately determine the sign of the regression coefficient. Finally, it is verified that the model has smaller mean square error and higher reliability than other models through a large number of numerical experiments and practical examples.
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