基于交通竞争力调节的环境可持续性分析

Muhammad Shahzad Sardar, N. Asghar, H. Rehman
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摘要

应对气候变化和推广清洁能源是可持续发展目标的两大重要目标。世界各国为减少全球变暖做出了各种承诺。交通运输部门在全球温室气体排放总量中所占的份额超过20%,而且随着时间的推移,这一比例还在不断上升。政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)在最近的报告中进行了情景分析,并建议到2050年减少净排放量。运输竞争力指数反映了运输服务的质量和规模。因此,本研究使用世界经济论坛(WEF)记录的121个国家的交通竞争力数据。该研究的期限限于2008-2018年。样本国家根据运输部门的排放量分为四组。本研究使用面板分位数回归(PQR)框架来估计结果并验证工业环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)。研究结果表明,在大多数群体/类别中,运输竞争力减轻了运输部门的排放。倒U型工业EKC已在组1和U型工业EKC为其他三个组的认证。交通运输竞争力的缓和说明了工业EKC在所有分位数组中的扁平化。实证结果表明,在较高的工业增长水平上,适度导致工业EKC的可持续性。在其他变量中,制度的治理能力和有计划的人口扩张在减排中被观察到。根据组的结果讨论策略选项。
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Environmental Sustainability Analysis Using Moderation of Transport Competitiveness for Industrial-Induced EKC
Combating adversities of climate change and promoting clean energy are two important goals of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The nations of the World have developed various commitments to reduce global warming. The transportation sector share is above twenty percent in total global Greenhouse Gas emissions which is continuously rising over time. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in its recent report conducted a scenario analysis and suggested reducing net emissions by 2050. The transport competitiveness index indicates the quality and expansion of transport services. Accordingly, this research study uses the data of 121 countries for which transport competitiveness is documented by the World Economic Forum (WEF). The period of the study is confined to 2008-2018. The sample countries are segregated into four groups on the basis of transport sector emissions. The study uses Panel Quantile Regression (PQR) framework to estimate results and to validate the industrial Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). The findings indicate that transport competitiveness mitigates transport sector emissions in the majority of groups/categories. Inverted U shape industrial EKC has been  authenticated in group-1 and U shape industrial EKC for the other three groups. The moderation of transportation competitiveness specified the flattening of industrial EKC across all quantile groups. The empirical findings indicate that moderation results in the sustainability of industrial EKC at higher levels of industrial growth. Among other variables, the governing ability of institutions and planned population expansion are observed in mitigating emissions. The policy options are discussed depending on the results of the groups.
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