石油出口国的石油价格和实际汇率

Usama Al-mulali, Che Normee Binti Che Sab
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引用次数: 21

摘要

本研究调查了石油价格冲击对实际汇率的影响,涵盖了2000年至2010年12个石油出口国的最近一次石油冲击,即阿尔及利亚、巴林、埃及、印度尼西亚、科威特、尼日利亚、阿曼、卡塔尔、沙特阿拉伯、苏丹、阿拉伯联合酋长国和委内瑞拉。本研究以实际汇率为因变量,以油价、政府消费支出、经常项目、通货膨胀率和基于购买力平价的国内生产总值为自变量,采用面板模型。我们得出的结果表明,油价上涨导致这些国家的实际汇率升值。
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Oil Prices and the Real Exchange Rate in Oil‐Exporting Countries
This study investigated the impact of oil price shocks on the real exchange rate covering the most recent oil shock from 2000 to 2010 in 12 oil‐exporting countries, namely Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Indonesia, Kuwait, Nigeria, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. In this study, the panel model was implemented using six variables, namely the real exchange rate as the dependent variable, and oil price, government consumption expenditure, current account, inflation rate and gross domestic product based on the purchasing power parity as independent variables. The results we have arrived at show that the increases in oil prices have caused a real exchange rate appreciation in these countries.
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