汇率和股票价格关系:来自加纳的证据

Peter Arhenful, R. Fosu, Mathew Owusu-Mensah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在调查2007年7月至2019年12月加纳汇率与股票价格之间的联系,以确定汇率升值是否会导致股票价格上涨或其他。加纳证券交易所(GSE)全股票指数;作为股票价格的代理汇率,而加纳塞迪对美元的名义月度汇率被用作代理汇率。采用Pearson积矩相关检验来评估两个变量之间的联系,并采用增强Dickey-Fuller (ADF)检验来确定数据的平稳性。这些级数都是非平稳的,因为它们有单位根;然而,在第一个差值处达到平稳。进行的回归和相关分析的结果显示,在加纳的情况下,这两个宏观经济变量是负相关的。鉴于加纳汇率与股票价格之间的负相关关系,该研究建议政策制定者在实施汇率措施时要谨慎。
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Exchange Rate and Stock Price Nexus: Evidence from Ghana
This study aimed at investigating the link between the Ghanaian exchange rate and stock prices from July 2007 to December 2019, to establish whether appreciation in exchange rate causes stock price increases or otherwise. The Ghana Stock Exchange's (GSE) All-Share Index; served as a proxy for stock prices, while nominal monthly exchange rates for the Ghana Cedi in terms of the US Dollar were utilized as a proxy exchange rate. The Pearson's Product Moment Correlation test was employed to evaluate the link between the two variables, and the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was employed to determine the data's stationarity qualities. The series were all non-stationary since they had unit roots; however, stationarity was attained at the first difference. The results of the regression and correlation analysis conducted revealed that the two macroeconomic variables are negatively connected in the Ghanaian context. In view of the negative association between the exchange rate and stock prices in Ghana, the study advises policymakers to be cautious when implementing exchange rate measures.
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