日元集团还是考拉集团?澳大利亚与东亚经济相关性的证据

Chakriya Bowman
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摘要

随着日本经济实力在20世纪80年代的增长,许多研究都考察了该地区货币之间的一体化。几项研究发现了“日元集团”存在的证据,即由于日本在该地区的贸易、直接和间接投资,日元与其他地区货币之间存在一种重要且不断加强的关系。然而,很少有研究将日本的作用与另一个有影响力的区域经济体澳大利亚进行比较。经过更仔细的调查,澳元似乎在东亚地区扮演着类似的角色,美元与亚洲货币之间的联系显示出对“考拉集团”和“日元集团”同样多的支持。事实上,随着20世纪接近尾声,澳元似乎是一种至少与日元同等重要的地区性货币。随着澳大利亚在亚洲的经济参与度不断提高,考虑到日本面临的经济困难,这是一个可以预期的趋势。
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Yen Bloc or Koala Bloc? Evidence of the Relevance of Australia to East Asian Economies
As the strength of the Japanese economy grew during the 1980s, many studies examined the integration between currencies in the region. Several studies found evidence for a "yen bloc", a significant and strengthening relationship between the Japanese yen and other regional currencies due to trade, direct and indirect investment by Japan in the region. However, few studies compared the role of Japan with another influential regional economy, Australia. On closer investigation it appears that the Australian dollar has a similar role in the East Asian region, and the linkages between the dollar and the Asian currencies show as much support for a "koala bloc" as a "yen bloc". In fact, as the 20th Century drew to a close, the Australian dollar appears to be a regional currency of at least equal importance to the yen. With the ever-increasing economic participation of Australia in Asia, and considering the economic difficulties facing Japan, it is a trend that can be expected to continue.
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