美国宏观经济失衡及其对国际金融体系的影响

Julia S. Perelstein
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文提出的论点是双重的。首先,2007-08年的金融危机因美国经常账户赤字而波及全球;其次,全球都依赖美国的贸易逆差来维持金融市场的流动性。从美国流出的美元被投资到美国的资本市场,造成了资产市场的通货膨胀,导致了次级抵押贷款领域的泡沫和破裂。由于美元是国际储备货币,国际债务大多以美元计价。由于全球金融一体化程度很高,美国贸易差额的任何减少都会对世界上许多国家产生负面影响——例如,那些依赖向美国出口以为其债务融资的国家。
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Macroeconomic Imbalances in the United States and Their Impact on the International Financial System
The argument put forward in this paper is twofold. First, the financial crisis of 2007-08 was made global by the current account deficit in the United States; and second, there is global dependence on the United States trade deficit as a means of maintaining liquidity in financial markets. The outflow of dollars from the United States was invested in U.S. capital markets, causing inflation in asset markets and leading to a bubble and bust in the subprime mortgage sector. Since the U.S. dollar is the international reserve currency, international debt is mostly denominated in dollars. Because there is a high degree of global financial integration, any reduction in the U.S. balance of trade will have negative effects on many countries throughout the world--for example, those countries dependent on exporting to the United States in order to finance their debt.
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