巴西、智利和南非的通胀目标制:货币政策框架的实证研究

M. Kamal
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文研究了通胀目标制框架下巴西、智利和南非的货币政策绩效。此外,根据1970年第一季度至2007年第四季度的数据,本文通过使用无限制向量自回归(VAR)和结构向量自回归(SVAR)方法进行了实证评估。另一方面,它利用似然比(LR)统计来检验由于这些国家采用通货膨胀目标制而可能发生的结构性变化。主要发现如下:通胀目标制确实对这些国家的货币政策表现产生了影响。此外,巴西、智利和南非的经验为其他新兴市场经济体采用这种框架提供了重要的教训。
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Inflation Targeting in Brazil, Chile and South Africa: An Empirical Investigation of Their Monetary Policy Framework
This paper tackles the monetary policy performance in Brazil, Chile and South Africa under inflation targeting framework. Furthermore, it provides an empirical assessment through using the unrestricted Vector Auto-regression (VAR) and Structural Vector Auto-regression (SVAR) approaches depending on data spans the period from the first quarter of 1970 to the fourth quarter of 2007. On the other hand, it utilizes the Likelihood Ratio (LR) Statistic to test for possible structural changes due to the adoption of inflation targeting regime in those countries. The main findings are as follows: inflation targeting does make a difference in the performance of monetary policy in those countries. Furthermore, the experience of Brazil, Chile and South Africa provides important lessons for other emerging market economies to adopt such a framework.
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