短期投资和时间偏好

Wolfgang Breuer, Andreas Knetsch, A. Salzmann
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摘要

本文研究了股东和管理者的时间偏好对短期投资行为的影响。我们的理论分析表明,管理层的未来取向抑制了短期主义,而股东的耐心则加剧了短期主义。我们以欧洲公司为样本,通过比较时间偏好对上市公司和非上市公司投资期限的影响来检验这些预测。基于非上市公司信息不对称程度较低的假设,未来导向对上市公司投资视野的影响为我们的假设提供了微弱的支持。当考虑国家层面的未来导向时,我们发现一些证据表明,更面向未来的国家的企业投资更倾向于长期导向。然而,我们无法证实一种普遍的观念,即更面向未来的国家的公司较少遭受短期主义的影响。
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Short-termist Investment and Time Preferences
This paper investigates the effect of shareholder and manager time preferences on short-termist investment behavior. Our theoretical analysis shows that managerial future orientation curtails short-termism whereas shareholder patience exacerbates it. We test these predictions by comparing the effects of time preferences on investment horizons of listed and unlisted firms in a sample of European firms. Based on the assumption that unlisted firms suffer from less asymmetric information, the effects of future orientation on investment horizons that are exclusive to listed firms provide weak support for our hypotheses. When considering future orientation on a national level, we find some evidence for firms in more future-oriented countries investing more long-term oriented. We can however not confirm the widespread notion that firms in more future-oriented countries suffer from less short-termism.
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