利用气候因子预测登革热暴发

J. Nan, Xianyi Liao, Jie Chen, Xiangping Chen, J. Chen, Guang-hui Dong, Kangkang Liu, Gang Hu
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引用次数: 5

摘要

登革热是一种与气候有关的严重传染病。它在广州传播,在过去十年中有许多病例包括死亡记录。因此,对登革热疫情进行分析和预测,以避免登革热疫情的爆发,减少人身安全损失是迫切和必要的。本文建立基于XGBoosst算法的预测模型,探讨气温、湿度、降雨等多种气候因子与登革热发病的关系。实验结果证明了该预测模型的可行性和有效性。
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Using Climate Factors to Predict the Outbreak of Dengue Fever
Dengue fever is a kind of serious infectious disease associating with climate. It spreads in Guangzhou with numerous cases including mortality records over the last ten years. Thus, analyzing and predicting the dengue fever to avoid an dengue outbreak and reduce the personal safety loss is urgent and necessary. In this paper, we build a prediction model based on XGBoosst algorithm to explore the relationships between multiple climate factors (such as temperature, humidity, rainfall, etc.) and incidence of dengue fever. The encouraging experimental results demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of our prediction model.
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