调解多边代理冲突

Francis B. Ward
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摘要

本章评估代理冲突的增加,并询问调解员如何最有效地参与具有代理元素的冲突。为了实现调解解决,任何调解人面临的挑战是确保交战各派之间达成最低程度的同意。为了建立这种共识,调解员需要了解各方的目标和驱动因素,以及如何将这些驱动因素吸引到各方。这个练习已经够难的了;在冲突中,主要行为者受到外部当事方的影响,使获得必要的同意变得更加困难。鉴于代理赞助者在国内冲突中的相关性日益增强,本章将考虑代理和行为者事实上的扩散如何影响流程设计,并评估多轨道调解工作的选择,以有效应对所产生的挑战。
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Mediating Multilateral Proxy Conflicts
This chapter assesses the increase in proxy conflict and asks how mediators can most effectively engage in conflicts which have proxy elements. To achieve a mediated settlement, the challenge for any mediator is to ensure a minimal level of consent between the warring factions. To build this consent, the mediator needs to understand the aims and drivers of the parties, and how those drivers can be appealed to all sides. This exercise is difficult enough; a conflict in which the primary actors are influenced by an external party makes gaining the necessary consent even more challenging. Given the increasing relevance of proxy sponsors in civil conflicts, this chapter it considers how proxies and the de-facto proliferation of actors impacts process design, and assesses options for multi-track mediation efforts to effectively confront the challenges created.
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