有效市场假说的检验:以印度制药业为例

Abhay Kumar, R. Soni, Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar, Meghna J. Vyas, V. Yadav
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引用次数: 13

摘要

本研究的目的是检验印度制药公司是否支持有效市场假说(EMH),并以市场效率的弱、半强、强三种形式考察印度股票市场的效率。为了检验效率的弱形式,研究人员从NSE网站上收集了过去6年(2012年至2017年)10家上市制药公司的股价数据,并进行了运行测试。为了检验半强形式的有效性,研究人员收集了回购、股票分割、配股、股息、奖金等事件的公告数据。他们对这些数据进行了一次事件研究。为了测试这种强大的效率形式,研究人员收集了一些共同基金(制药基金)的资产净值和基准指数的回报组成的数据来进行比较。研究发现,制药公司和印度股票市场在弱有效市场假说下是有效的,而在半强和强有效市场假说下是无效的。
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The Testing of Efficient Market Hypotheses: A Study of Indian Pharmaceutical Industry
The purpose of this study is to test whether the Indian pharmaceutical companies support efficient market hypotheses (EMH) and examine the efficiency of the Indian stock market in three forms, i.e., the weak, the semi-strong, and the strong form of market efficiency. For testing the weak form of efficiency, researchers collected stock price data of 10 listed pharmaceutical companies for the past six years, from 2012 to 2017 from the NSE website, and conducted a run test. To test the efficiency of semi-strong form, researchers collected data on the announcement of events like buyback, stock split, rights issue, dividend, bonus issue. They conducted an event study on the data. For testing the strong form of efficiency, researchers collected data consisting of NAV of some mutual funds (pharmaceutical funds) and the returns of a benchmarking index to compare. The study concludes that the pharmaceutical companies and Indian stock market is efficient in the weak form of EMH and not efficient in the semi-strong and strong form of EMH.
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