MS IEC 62305-2:2007雷电风险评估兼容软件的综合可靠性和灵敏度分析

Hau Lee Cheun, Chua Kein Huat, Albert Kow Kek Hing, Lim Kim Ten, Steven Chia
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摘要

本文介绍了对符合MS IEC 62305-2:2007标准的雷电风险评估(LRA)软件进行可靠性和灵敏度分析的结果。其目的是确定可以在不影响LRA可靠性的情况下固定的输入参数,以及对输出风险值有强烈影响的输入参数,从而显著影响LRA的可靠性。结果表明,输入CE、$r_{a}、h_{b}、r_{s}、W_{a}、L_{a}、h_{pb}、P_{a} $和Uw对输出风险值的影响最小,且可以固定。相反,输入参数$\mathrm{P}_{SPD}、\mathrm{P}_{B}、r_{P}、\mathrm{H}_{c}、\mathrm{H}_{B}、\mathrm{W}_{B}、r_{f}$和Ng对输出风险值的影响较大。这些强影响输入参数的准确输入对于可靠的LRA至关重要,因为微小的变化可能导致输出风险值的重大变化。建议仔细考虑并准确输入剩余的输入参数,因为它们仍然可能导致对输出风险值的影响变化。本研究的结果被用于开发LRA软件,以提供定性的LRA,以保护固定结构和服务免受雷击危害。
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A Comprehensive Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis of MS IEC 62305-2:2007 Lightning Risk Assessment Compliant Software
This paper presents the results of the reliability and sensitivity analysis conducted on lightning risk assessment (LRA) software compliant with the MS IEC 62305-2:2007 standard. The aim was to identify input parameters that can be fixed without compromising the reliability of the LRA and input parameters that have strong influence on the output risk values, thus significantly influencing the reliability of LRA. The results show that input CE, $r_{a}, h_{b}, R_{s}, W_{a}, L_{a}, H_{pb}, P_{A}$, and Uw have minimal impact on the output risk values and can be fixed. Conversely, the input parameters $\mathrm{P}_{SPD}, \mathrm{P}_{B}, r_{p}, \mathrm{H}_{c}, \mathrm{H}_{b}, \mathrm{W}_{b}, r_{f}$, and Ng have strong influences on the output risk values. The accurate entry of these strong influence input parameters is crucial for reliable LRA as small changes can lead to significant changes in output risk values. It is recommended to carefully consider and accurately enter the remaining input parameters, as they could still result in influencing changes on the output risk values. The findings of this study are used in developing LRA software to provide qualitative LRA for protecting fixed structures and services against lightning hazards.
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