促进出口能减少失业吗?

M. Olarreaga, Cristian Ugarte
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文考察了出口促进对总失业的影响。我们发现,出口促进机构(EPAs)预算在总出口中所占份额的增加导致总失业率的小幅下降。当促进出口的努力集中在该国具有比较优势的部门时,这种影响就会扩大。另一方面,如果经济刺激计划的目标是通过集中努力在高失业率部门减少总失业,那么总失业就会增加。这些结果表明,即使epa的优先事项转向降低失业率,将重点放在该国具有比较优势的部门而不是劳动力市场摩擦高的部门,这将更好地解决这一问题。
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Can Export Promotion Reduce Unemployment?
The paper examines the impact of export promotion on aggregate unemployment. We findnd that increases in the share of Export Promotion Agencies' (EPAs) budgets on total exports lead to small decreases in aggregate unemployment. This effect is amplifi ed when export promotion efforts are concentrated in sectors in which the country has a comparative advantage. On the other hand, when EPAs aim at reducing aggregate unemployment by focusing their efforts in sectors with high levels of unemployment, then aggregate unemployment increases. These results suggest that even if EPAs' pri- orities were to shift towards reducing unemployment, this would be better addressed by focusing on sectors in which the country has a comparative advantage rather than sectors with high labor market frictions.
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