基于HP滤波和支持向量回归的混合方法优化股票市场价格预测

Meryem Ouahilal, M. E. Mohajir, M. Chahhou, Badr Eddine El Mohajir
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引用次数: 13

摘要

股票价格预测是金融时间序列预测的一项重要任务,是股票投资者、股票交易者和应用研究人员非常感兴趣的问题。近年来,许多机器学习技术被用于预测股票价格,包括回归算法,它可以提供良好的金融时间序列预测准确性。本文提出了一种将支持向量回归与Hodrick-Prescott滤波相结合的新型混合方法来优化股票价格预测。为了评估这种方法的性能,我们使用摩洛哥电信(IAM)金融时间序列进行了几次实验。这是2004年至2016年期间每天收集的数据。实验结果表明,该模型在股票价格预测方面具有较强的预测能力。
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Optimizing stock market price prediction using a hybrid approach based on HP filter and support vector regression
Predicting stock prices is an important task of financial time series forecasting, which is of great interest to stock investors, stock traders and applied researchers. Many machine learning techniques have been used in recent times to predict the stock price, including regression algorithms which can be useful tools to provide good accuracy of financial time series forecasting. In this paper, we propose a novel hybrid approach which combines Support Vector Regression and Hodrick-Prescott filter in order to optimize the prediction of stock price. To assess the performance of this proposed approach, we have conducted several experiments using Maroc Telecom (IAM) financial time series. It is daily data collected during the period between 2004 and 2016. The experimental results confirm that the proposed model is more powerful in term of predicting stock prices.
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