用Prolog对金融网络级联故障进行推理

Jorgie Bartelsi Permana, Muhammad Arzaki, Yanti Rusmawati
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们构建了一个Prolog脚本来模拟金融网络,该网络具有模拟破产导致的金融损失蔓延的能力。我们的重点是构建Prolog脚本,该脚本模拟先前构建的与Sariwangi AEA和Indorub破产案例相关的模型的级联失败。该脚本能够找到破产的节点、整个模型遭受的财务损失以及容易破产的节点。在不同的财务失败阈值下,多次运行模拟。从模拟结果中,我们得到了与特定失效阈值相关的破产节点的七种分类。
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Reasoning about the Cascading Failure of Financial Network Using Prolog
We construct a Prolog script that models the financial network which has the capability to simulate the spread of financial loss due to bankruptcy. Our focus is in the construction of Prolog script that simulates the cascading failure for a previously constructed model pertaining to Sariwangi AEA and Indorub bankruptcy case. The script is capable of finding bankrupt nodes, the amount of financial loss the entire model suffers, and nodes that are vulnerable to bankruptcy. A simulation is run multiple times under different financial failure threshold. From the simulation results, we obtain seven classifications regarding bankrupt nodes associated to a particular failure threshold.
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