基于FDA法的广西低碳发展指标动态评价

Xiqiao Lin, Huiling Qin, Min Cheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文基于2003 - 2016年的城市数据,对广西及各城市的低碳水平进行了评价。采用熵权法计算各城市的低碳水平,然后采用FDA法和各种曲线考察潜在的动态变化。结果表明:(1)广西各城市低碳水平差异较大,南宁(0.7739)、柳州(0.3936)、桂林(0.3585)排在前三位,百色(0.1786)、河池(0.1726)、来宾(0.1726)(2)从不同城市低碳发展动态特征来看,多数城市低碳水平呈上升趋势,少数城市呈下降趋势;(3)从整体低碳发展的动态特征来看,广西整体低碳发展水平呈现先下降后上升的趋势,在样本期末仍保持明显的上升趋势。本文为广西低碳发展提供理论支持,对实现“二氧化碳排放峰值、碳中和”的目标具有重要的现实意义。
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Dynamic Evaluation of Guangxi Low Carbon Development Index-Based on FDA Method
Based on the city data from 2003 to 2016, this paper evaluates the low-carbon level of Guangxi Province and cities. The entropy weight method is used to calculate the low-carbon level of each city, and then the FDA method and various curves are used to investigate the potential dynamic changes. The findings are as follows: (1) The low-carbon levels of cities in Guangxi are quite different, with Nanning (0.7739), Liuzhou (0.3936) and Guilin (0.3585) ranking the first three, Baise (0.1786), Hechi (0.1726) and Laibin (0.1726) (2) From the perspective of the dynamic characteristics of low-carbon development in different cities, the low-carbon level of most cities has an upward trend, but a few cities show a downward trend; (3) From the perspective of the dynamic characteristics of the overall low-carbon development, the overall low-carbon development level of Guangxi Province shows a trend of first falling and then increasing, and it still keeps an obvious upward trend at the end of the sample. This paper provides theoretical support for low-carbon development in Guangxi, which has important practical significance for realizing the goal of "peak carbon dioxide emissions, carbon neutral".
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