{"title":"利用多重分形工具对非经常性道路交通进行短期预测","authors":"R. Vojak, M. Danech-Pajouh","doi":"10.1109/VNIS.1995.518846","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We present a first approach for short-term forecasting of traffic flow data using multifractal analysis. The acquisition time is assumed very small (1 minute in our case), which yields highly irregular data well suited to multifractal analysis. We perform predictions with different horizons (from 1 minute to 15 minutes) and come up with satisfactory results. We then present a possible improvement to this approach based on multinomial measures and results on multifractal correlations.","PeriodicalId":337008,"journal":{"name":"Pacific Rim TransTech Conference. 1995 Vehicle Navigation and Information Systems Conference Proceedings. 6th International VNIS. A Ride into the Future","volume":"73 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1995-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Short-term prediction of a nonrecurrent road traffic using multifractal tools\",\"authors\":\"R. Vojak, M. Danech-Pajouh\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/VNIS.1995.518846\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We present a first approach for short-term forecasting of traffic flow data using multifractal analysis. The acquisition time is assumed very small (1 minute in our case), which yields highly irregular data well suited to multifractal analysis. We perform predictions with different horizons (from 1 minute to 15 minutes) and come up with satisfactory results. We then present a possible improvement to this approach based on multinomial measures and results on multifractal correlations.\",\"PeriodicalId\":337008,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Pacific Rim TransTech Conference. 1995 Vehicle Navigation and Information Systems Conference Proceedings. 6th International VNIS. A Ride into the Future\",\"volume\":\"73 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1995-07-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Pacific Rim TransTech Conference. 1995 Vehicle Navigation and Information Systems Conference Proceedings. 6th International VNIS. A Ride into the Future\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/VNIS.1995.518846\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Pacific Rim TransTech Conference. 1995 Vehicle Navigation and Information Systems Conference Proceedings. 6th International VNIS. A Ride into the Future","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/VNIS.1995.518846","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Short-term prediction of a nonrecurrent road traffic using multifractal tools
We present a first approach for short-term forecasting of traffic flow data using multifractal analysis. The acquisition time is assumed very small (1 minute in our case), which yields highly irregular data well suited to multifractal analysis. We perform predictions with different horizons (from 1 minute to 15 minutes) and come up with satisfactory results. We then present a possible improvement to this approach based on multinomial measures and results on multifractal correlations.