利用多重分形工具对非经常性道路交通进行短期预测

R. Vojak, M. Danech-Pajouh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一种利用多重分形分析对交通流数据进行短期预测的方法。假设采集时间非常短(在我们的例子中为1分钟),这产生了非常适合多重分形分析的高度不规则的数据。我们用不同的视界(从1分钟到15分钟)进行预测,并得出令人满意的结果。然后,我们提出了一种基于多项测度和多重分形相关结果的可能改进方法。
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Short-term prediction of a nonrecurrent road traffic using multifractal tools
We present a first approach for short-term forecasting of traffic flow data using multifractal analysis. The acquisition time is assumed very small (1 minute in our case), which yields highly irregular data well suited to multifractal analysis. We perform predictions with different horizons (from 1 minute to 15 minutes) and come up with satisfactory results. We then present a possible improvement to this approach based on multinomial measures and results on multifractal correlations.
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