用时间序列估计Hurst指数的广义方法

Lyudmyla Kirichenko, T. Radivilova, V. Bulakh
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引用次数: 6

摘要

. 本文提出了一种广义的短时间序列自相似随机过程分形分析方法。提出了分形分析的几个阶段。初步的时间序列分析包括去除短期依赖性、确定真正的长期依赖性和对自相似性存在的假设检验。讨论了平稳和非平稳时间序列中Hurst指数的无偏区间估计方法。提出了改进估计的方法。该方法适用于研究不同性质的自相似时间序列。
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Generalized approach to Hurst exponent estimating by time series
. This paper presents a generalized approach to the fractal analysis of self-similar random processes by short time series. Several stages of the fractal analysis are proposed. Preliminary time series analysis includes the removal of short-term dependence, the identification of true long-term dependence and hypothesis test on the existence of a self-similarity property. Methods of unbiased interval estimation of the Hurst exponent in cases of stationary and non-stationary time series are discussed. Methods of estimate refinement are proposed. This approach is applicable to the study of self-similar time series of different nature.
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