国土安全与俄罗斯策略

Lionel Ponsard
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摘要

在俄罗斯人的理解中,国土安全仍然是一个模糊的概念,但本质上是指维护关键的国家利益,与全球威胁作斗争,重点是国际恐怖主义,并最终打击跨国有组织犯罪。在俄罗斯联邦,国土安全任务通常由分布在三个不同部委的几个安全机构执行,即内政部、国防部和民事紧急情况部(EMERCOM)。然而,这种三边结构也许不足以确保俄罗斯打击有组织犯罪的努力取得具体成果。尽管一再声明需要重建法治,但现任俄罗斯政府似乎以一种自由裁量的方式处理寡头。因此,如果最高领导层不彻底改变态度,指望任何真正的改善都是不切实际的。俄罗斯对待国土安全的方式在结构实施方面与欧洲标准相当接近,但在回应和倾向于使用武力方面更接近美国的方式。对俄罗斯安全概念的分析表明,对该国的安全威胁被评估为在过去十年中明显增加。悲观的世界观加上在国际舞台上的影响力下降,显然需要更自信的安全文件。在同样的逻辑下,俄罗斯的看法主张将武力作为应对国际恐怖主义等不对称威胁的首选解决方案。在美国遭遇9 / 11恐怖袭击以及莫斯科和华盛顿之间重新建立战略伙伴关系之后,这一点变得更加明显。承认俄罗斯在打击国际恐怖主义中的关键作用确实使俄罗斯重新回到了西方安全共同体。在俄罗斯方面,俄罗斯领导人很快就明白,俄罗斯太弱了,无法独自应对这些新的威胁,公开对抗西方会失去任何潜在的好处。
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Homeland Security and the Russian Approach
Homeland security remains a vague notion in the Russian understand- ing, but essentially refers to the safeguard of key national interests, the struggle against global threats, with a strong focus on international terrorism, and eventually the fight against transnational organized crime. Homeland security tasks are usually performed in the Russian Federation by several security agencies distributed among three different ministries, i.e. the Interior Ministry, the MOD, and the Ministry for Civil Emergencies (EMERCOM). However, this trilateral structure is perhaps not sufficient to ensure concrete results in Russia's attempts to fight against organized crime. Although having repeatedly stated the need to re-establish the rule of law, the current Russian government appears to deal with oligarchs in a discretionary way. It would therefore be rather utopian to expect any real improvement without a radical change of attitude from the top leadership. Russian approach towards homeland security is rather close to the European standards in terms of structural implementation, but much closer to the U.S. approach in terms of response and the preference for the use of force. The analysis of Russia's security concepts demon- strates that security threats to the country are assessed as having clearly increased in the last ten years. A gloomier worldview combined with a reduced influence on the international scene obviously calls for more assertive security documents. In the same logic, the Russian perception advocates force as the preferred solution to deal with asymmetric threats, such as international terrorism. This became even more apparent in the wake of the 11 September attacks on the United States and the re- newed strategic partnership between Moscow and Washington. The recognition of Russia's key role in the fight against international terrorism did indeed bring Russia back into the Western security community. On the Russian side, the Russian leader- ship soon understood that Russia was too weak to counter these new threats on its own and would lose any prospective benefit by openly confronting the West.
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