区域贸易协定、全球化和全球玉米出口

András Bence Szerb, Arnold Csonka, I. Fertő
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引用次数: 1

摘要

全球化对国际农产品贸易也产生了深远的影响。本研究利用1996-2020年期间的重力模型考察了区域贸易协定和全球化对国际玉米贸易的影响。结果表明,尽管全球化,距离对双边玉米贸易的负面影响大于对制造业的负面影响。距离似乎仍然是解释包括玉米在内的商品市场贸易流动的一个重要因素。我们关于区域贸易协定作用的研究结果与之前的研究结果一致:区域贸易协定通常以双边贸易关系的加强为前提。双边贸易水平与区域贸易协定成员之间存在着相互积极的反馈。然而,建立共同区域贸易协定成员资格及其贸易刺激效果并不是立即可见的。
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Regional trade agreements, globalization, and global maize exports
Globalisation is also having a profound impact on international agricultural trade. This study examines the impact of regional trade agreements (RTAs) and globalization on international maize trade using a gravity model for the period 1996–2020. The results show that, despite globalization, distance has a larger negative impact on bilateral maize trade than on the manufacturing sector. It appears that distance remains an important factor in explaining trade flows in commodity markets, including maize. Our findings on the role of RTAs are in line with the results of previous studies: RTAs are generally preceded by a strengthening of bilateral trade relations. There is mutually positive feedback between the level of bilateral trade and RTA membership. However, the establishment of a common RTA membership and its trade-stimulating effects are not immediately visible.
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