亚洲金融联系的演变:关键决定因素和政策的作用

Selim Elekdağ, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, Yiqun Wu
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文考察了亚洲金融与系统性经济体的联系是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。在开发了一个因素模型之后,它估计了亚洲金融对系统性经济的敏感性,然后试图揭示其关键决定因素,包括贸易和金融联系以及政策。随着亚洲在全球经济中的作用日益增强(包括通过深化金融一体化),该地区金融市场对系统性经济变得更加敏感。亚洲金融对系统性经济的敏感性表现出周期性波动,并在2008-09年最近一次全球金融危机期间达到历史最高水平。虽然宏观经济政策框架帮助亚洲经济体很好地应对了市场动荡,但它们无法使亚洲金融市场完全免受全球重大金融冲击的影响。
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The Evolution of Asian Financial Linkages: Key Determinants and the Role of Policy
This paper examines how Asian financial linkages with systemic economies have changed over time. After developing a factor model, it estimates Asian financial sensitivities to systemic economies, and then seeks to uncover their key determinants, which include trade and financial linkages, as well as policies. In line with Asia's growing role in the global economy - including through deeper financial integration - regional financial markets have become more sensitive to systemic economies. Asian financial sensitivities to systemic economies exhibit cyclical fluctuations, and reached historically high levels during the latest global financial crisis of 2008-09. While macroeconomic policy frameworks have helped Asian economies cope well with market turbulence, they cannot completely insulate Asian financial markets against major global financial shocks.
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