多币种世界的汇率会计

Zhengyang Jiang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我开发了一个会计框架,将不完全市场中的外汇变动归因于SDF和非SDF冲击。该框架允许对FX动态和SDF-FX传递进行一般表征。在这个框架下,三角套利在SDF相关性和外汇相关性之间施加了紧密的关系,如果SDF-外汇传递在各国之间是对称的,则会产生反事实的影响。这一结果表明,不对称性是不完全市场中均衡外汇动态的固有特征,这对国际溢出、巴克斯-史密斯系数和外汇变动产生了新的影响。
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Exchange Rate Accounting in a Multi-Currency World
I develop an accounting framework that attributes FX movements in incomplete markets to SDF and non-SDF shocks. This framework allows a general characterization of FX dynamics and SDF-FX pass-through. Under this framework, Triangular arbitrage imposes a tight relation between SDF correlations and FX correlations, which produces counterfactual implications if the SDF-FX pass-through is symmetric across countries. This result suggests that asymmetry is an inherent feature of equilibrium FX dynamics in incomplete markets, which generates novel implications about international spill-over, Backus-Smith coefficients, and FX comovements.
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