监管政策加强前后俄罗斯银行业竞争:基于利率分散和价差的结论

Yulia V. Ushakova, A. Kruglova
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引用次数: 8

摘要

2013年俄罗斯央行(Bank of Russia)监管政策的加强,凸显了将银行业竞争评估作为研究银行业复苏效果的工具的重要性。我们根据银行贷款政策的估计风险调整了银行间存贷款利率的分散和扩散,提出了简单计算的竞争指标。对2010-2017年期间进行了估计。从这些指标来看,我们没有发现竞争减弱。这一结果已通过估算另一种但更精心计算的竞争衡量标准——布恩指标得到证实。我们还发现,在这一政策推出后的一段时间里,无论是不良贷款水平相对较低的银行集群,还是不良贷款水平相对较高的银行集群,企业和零售贷款的波动性都有所下降。与此同时,系统性风险指标SRISK相对较低,z指数逐渐回升,与银行业稳定性改善相一致。
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Competition in Russia’s Banking Sector Prior to and After Supervision Policy Enhancement: Conclusions Based on Interest Rate Dispersion and Spread
Enhancement of the Bank of Russia's supervision policy in 2013 has heightened the relevance of evaluating banking competition as a tool to study the effects of banking sector recovery. We propose simple-to-calculate competition measures based on the dispersion and spread of loan and deposit rates across banks adjusted for the estimated risk of banks'lending policy. Estimation was performed for the period of 2010-2017. We have found no weakening in competition as measured by these indicators. This result has been corroborated by estimating an alternative but more elaborately calculated competition measure - the Boone indicator. We have also found that the period following this policy launch saw a drop in the volatility of corporate and retail lending in both the cluster of banks showing a relatively low level of nonperforming loans and amomg banks with a relatively high NPL level. This is accomponied by relatively low values of the systemic risk indicator SRISK and gradual recovery of the Z-index, which agrees with banking sector stability improvement.
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