基于行政管理者观点的干旱领域危机管理实践措施的优先排序

Jeiran Amiraslani, B. Omidvar, S. Shobeiri
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引言:干旱被认为是一种复杂的、缓慢蔓延的自然灾害,具有普遍的社会经济和环境影响。鉴于水资源储量、人均消费量和平均降雨量,伊朗可以被视为面临缺乏物理水资源风险的国家之一,因此在该国适当管理干旱是一个重要问题。本研究的主要目的是查明在执行干旱管理措施方面受到较少注意的方面。方法:采用现场法和文献研究相结合的应用发展性研究。数据收集工具和方法,数据分析方法分别为研究者自制问卷、结构化访谈和因子分析Q法。该研究的统计人口包括12名森林范围和流域管理组织的行政人员,能源、农业研究、教育和推广组织的副ABFA,农业吉哈德部的水和土壤副部长,积极参与该国的干旱管理行政行动。在技术结构、社会经济、管理和环境气候4个方面选择了24个干旱管理绩效指标,利用专家意见推导问卷项目,并对其进行因子解释。结果:基于对结果的因子分析,在干旱管理领域的管理者中发现了以技术为导向和以管理为中心的两种主观模型,这两种主观模型都在社会经济维度上批评了管理者的行为。因此,专家们认为,该国在干旱管理领域的大多数问题是在社会经济部门,而大多数成就是在技术-结构方面。结论:执行管理人员的观点结果表明,大多数执行管理人员认为干旱危机健康促进是国家在该领域执行措施的成果之一,可以作为未来规划的优势。
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Prioritization of Crisis Management Practical Measures in the Field of Drought Using Views of Executive Managers
INTRODUCTION: Drought is considered as a complex and creeping natural hazard associated with pervasive socio-economic and environmental impacts. Given the water reserves, per capita consumption, and average rainfall, Iran can be regarded as one of the countries facing the risk of lack of physical water resources and therefore proper management of drought in the country is an important issue. The main objective in the present study was to identify the dimensions gaining less attention in the context of executive drought management measures. METHODS: This was an applied-developmental study performed with the field method along with documentary studies. The data collection tool and method, and data analysis method were a researcher-made questionnaire, structured interview, and Q methodology using factor analysis, respectively. The statistical population of the study consisted of 12 executives of the Forests Range and Watershed Management Organization, Deputy ABFA of Ministry of Energy, Agricultural Research, Education, and Extension Organization, Deputy Minister of Water and Soil of Ministry of Agricultural Jihad active in drought management executive actions in the country. To derive the questionnaire items using the expert opinion, 24 items on drought management performance measures were selected in four technical-structural, socio-economic, managerial, and environmental-climatic aspects and factor interpretation was performed on them. FINDINGS: Based on the factor analysis of the results, the two technical-oriented and management-centered technical-oriented subjective models that both criticized the executive actions in the socio-economic dimension, were specified among the executives of the drought management field. Thus, according to the experts, most problems in the country in the field of drought management were in the socio-economic sector and most of the achievements in the technical-structural dimension. CONCLUSION: The results of the viewpoints of the executive managers indicated that most of them considered health promotion in drought crisis as one of the achievements of the executive measures in this field in the country which can be used as a strength in future planning.
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