估计埃及马铃薯出口在最重要的国外市场的近乎理想的需求系统

A. Bahloul
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摘要

出口是经济启动的一个基本支柱,是提供永久外汇来源的基础,也是减少埃及贸易平衡赤字的一种手段。该研究的问题是埃及马铃薯出口不稳定,研究将其归因于全球市场的激烈竞争。因此,本研究旨在利用半最优需求模型估计2005-2020年期间俄罗斯市场、希腊市场和意大利市场马铃薯出口的需求函数。研究结果表明,从数量上看,埃及马铃薯最重要的进口国是俄罗斯、希腊、黎巴嫩和意大利,相对重要性分别约为33.98%、9.15%、8.17%和6.99%。俄罗斯市场的结果显示,需求的价格弹性为-0.787,这意味着它在该市场上是一种需求无弹性的商品,消费弹性达到0.487%左右,这表明它是一种正常的商品。希腊市场需求的价格弹性约为-1.827%,为需求有弹性的商品,消费弹性约为0.771%,为正常商品。它显示了黎巴嫩市场对埃及的完全收购。而意大利市场对埃及土豆需求的价格弹性约为-8.76%,为需求弹性商品,而消费弹性约为0.429%,为正常商品。该研究建议研究竞争国家的出口价格,以提高埃及土豆的竞争力。必须努力保持埃及马铃薯在主要市场上的竞争优势,并有兴趣调节经济市场上的作物供应。需要通过关注质量规格和所需的消费者口味来努力开拓新的竞争市场。
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Estimation the Almost Ideal Demand System for Egyptian potatoes Exports in the most Important Foreign Markets
Export is a basic pillar upon which the economic launch is based in providing permanent sources of foreign exchange, and a means to reduce the deficit in the Egyptian trade balance. The problem of the research is that the Egyptian potato exports are unstable, which the study attributes to the strong competition in global markets. Therefore, the research aimed to estimate the demand functions for potato exports using the semi-optimal demand model in the Russian market, the Greek market and the Italian market during the period (2005-2020). The results of the study indicate that the most important importing countries for Egyptian potatoes in terms of quantity are Russia, Greece, Lebanon and Italy, with a relative importance of about 33.98%, 9.15%, 8.17%, and 6.99, respectively. The results of the Russian market showed that the price elasticity of demand amounted to -0.787, which means that it is a commodity with inelastic demand in this market, and the spending elasticity reached about 0.487%, which indicates that it is a normal commodity. The price elasticity of demand in the Greek market amounted to about -1.827%, meaning that it is a good with elastic demand, and the spending elasticity reached about 0.771%, which indicates that it is a normal good. It shows the complete acquisition of Egypt for the Lebanese market. While the price elasticity of the Italian market's demand for Egyptian potatoes amounted to about -8.76%, meaning that it is a commodity with elastic demand, while the spending elasticity reached about 0.429%, meaning it is a normal commodity. study recommended studying the export prices of competing countries to increase the competitiveness of Egyptian potatoes. necessity of working to preserve the competitive advantage of Egyptian potatoes in the main markets, with interest in regulating the supply of the crop in the economic markets. need to work on opening new markets for competition by paying attention to quality specifications and the required consumer tastes.
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