闽西及周边地区油籽葵花作物实行承包经营的外延经济要求

E. Abdelaal, Effat Allam
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摘要

在国家“种植150万费丹”项目中,研究的问题是西明亚(WM)、中埃及(ME)和巴尼马扎尔(BM)缺乏油籽向日葵种植面积。目的是:确定应用向日葵合同的外延要求(知识、态度、实践和行为)和经济要求(技术效率(TECRS)和经济效率(CE)。采用简单随机抽样法抽取531名农户。在沙漠研究中心示范后,只有90名农民对向日葵承包做出了16.9%的回应。数据收集时间为2021年11月至2022年5月。描述性统计、相关、多元回归和数据包络分析(DEA)被用来实现这些目标。结果:KAPB水平最低的是WM(52.2%、48%、44.8%和48.3%),最高的是ME(88%、82%、80%和80.7%)。Pearson相关显示农民行为与教育程度、收入和经验呈显著正相关,与年龄呈显著负相关。多元线性回归(R)证明自变量分别解释了(72%、82%和86%)三个区域的被调查者行为。(DEA)表明,向日葵的生产效率不高(TECRS= 0.878, CE=0.796),即即使投入和成本分别减少(12.2%)和(20.4%),也可以达到相同的产量。此外,WM农民比其他农民效率最低,相反,ME农民效率最高。为实现1076.46 kg/Fadden的目标产量,建议对过剩资源进行合理配置。此外,如果决策者提供灵活的底价、延伸服务和回收副产品,则可以实现纳什均衡(双赢)。
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Extensional and Economic Requirements for Applying Contract Farming on Oilseed Sunflower Crop between Farmers of West-Minya and Surrounded Zones
The research problem is lack of oilseed sunflower area in West Minya (WM) in the national project “Cultivation 1.5 Million Feddan”, Middle Egypt (ME) and Bani Mazaar (BM). The aims are: identify extensional requirements (knowledge, attitude, practice and behavior (KAPB)) and economic requirements (technical efficiency (TECRS) and economic efficiency (CE) for applying sunflower contracting.531 farmers are selected by simple random sampling. Only 90 farmers represent 16.9% respond to sunflower contracting following Desert Research Center’ demo-plots. Data are collected by personal interview during Nov. 2021 to May2022. Descriptive statistics, correlation, multiple regression, and Data Envelopment analysis (DEA) are employed to achieve these aims. Results are: the lowest (KAPB) levels are in WM (52.2%, 48%, 44.8% and 48.3%), while the highest scores are in ME (88%, 82%, 80% and 80.7%). Pearson correlation demonstrates significant positive relationships between farmers’ behavior and education, income and experience, while significant negative correlations with age. (R) of multiple linear regression proves that independent variables explain (72%, 82 % and 86%) of respondents ’behavior in three zones respectively. (DEA) demonstrates that sunflower isn’t produced efficiently (TECRS= 0.878 and CE=0.796) i.e. the same output can be achieved even if inputs and costs are decreased by (12.2%) and (20.4%). Additionally, WM’farmers are the least efficient than others, conversely, ME ’farmers are the highest efficient. To achieve the target output (1076.46 kg/Fadden), it is recommended to rationalize and re-allocate excessive resources. Also, Nash equilibrium (win, win) is achieved if decision maker provides flexible floor price, extensional service and recycles byproducts.
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