马鲁古省政府职能支出与经济增长:I-O表与面板数据回归分析

Zaidan Najmuddin, Amalia Rizkiyani
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引用次数: 1

摘要

政府在确保经济稳定增长方面有自己的贡献。区域自治和财政分权的存在,赋予了地方自主发展的权力。2020年,马鲁古北部的经济增长为4.92%,价值趋于稳定,但对国民经济的贡献很小。从财政角度看,决定经济走向的一个因素是政府支出。然而,马鲁古·乌塔拉的政府支出往往是疲软和波动的。这个条件表明政府支出与经济增长之间的关系是不一致的。制定了若干目标,以便概述经济结构,分析政府支出对经济部门产出和增值的影响,并按影响马鲁古乌塔拉经济增长的职能确定政府支出。本研究采用I-O表影响分析和面板数据回归分析。根据I-O表的影响分析,资本支出对建筑业产出和附加值的影响最大。同时,政府消费和政府总支出对政府行政部门的影响最大。然后,从面板数据回归分析结果来看,三个变量具有显著影响,即经济、教育和健康方面的职能支出。然而,政府在经济上的支出存在一个异常,其负影响为0.003190。这表明马鲁古北部按经济功能分配给政府支出的项目是无效的。
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Government Spending by Function and Economic Growth in Maluku Utara: I-O Table and Panel Data Regression Analysis
The government has a contribution to ensuring the stability of economic growth. The existence of regional autonomy and fiscal decentralization gives the authority to develop their regions independently by utilizing their potential. In 2020, Maluku Utara's economic growth grew by 4.92 percent, the value tends to be stable, but the contribution to the national economy is very slight. From a fiscal perspective, a component that determines the economic direction is government spending. However, Maluku Utara's government spending tends to be weak and fluctuating. The condition indicates that the relationship between government spending and economic growth is inconsistent. Several objectives were set to provide an overview of the economic structure, analyze the impact of government spending on the output and value-added of the economic sector, and identify government spending by the function that affects economic growth in Maluku Utara. This study uses the I-O table impact analysis and panel data regression analysis. Based on the impact analysis of the I-O table, capital spending has the most output impact and added value in the construction sector. Meanwhile, government consumption and total government spending impact the Government Administration sectors most. Then, from the panel data regression analysis results, three variables have a significant influence, namely spending by function on economics, education, and health. However, there is an anomaly in the government spending on the economy with a negative effect of 0.003190. That indicates the items allocated to government spending by function on economics in Maluku Utara are ineffective.
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