气候变化的未来

H. Dolman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

用地球边界的概念描述了适应和减缓气候变化的作用。描述了主要储层的未来演化。描述了陆地和海洋汇、永久冻土反馈和海洋酸化的作用。讨论了将地球温度保持在1.5°C或2.0°C以下的挑战。由于这将涉及大量的负排放技术,如碳捕获和储存,这可能很难实现,正如对其潜力和环境成本的分析所显示的那样。地球工程有一系列的难题需要解决,这使得它的应用变得非常重要。讨论了社会的脱碳问题,并概述了向无碳社会过渡的道路。
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The Future of Climate Change
The role of adaptation and mitigation to climate change is described using the concept of planetary boundaries. The future evolution of the main reservoirs of carbon is described. The role of the land and ocean sink, the permafrost feedback and ocean acidification is described. The challenge to keep Earth’s temperature below 1.5 °C or 2.0 ºC is discussed. As this will involve large amounts of negative emission technologies, such as carbon capture and storage, this may be hard to achieve, as an analysis of their potential and environmental costs shows. Geoengineering has a separate of difficult problems to cope with, which makes the application non-trivial. Decarbonization of societies is discussed and an outline given for a transition path towards a carbon-free society.
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