买入持有和持续组合的实际应用可能是比你想象的更好的配置策略

Thomas J. O'Brien
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在《投资组合管理杂志》2020年6月的多资产特刊中,康涅狄格大学的托马斯·j·奥布莱恩(Thomas J. O 'Brien)在《买入并持有和持续组合可能是比你想象的更好的配置策略》一篇文章中讨论了各种基本多期配置策略的相对实用性和实用性。奥布莱恩运用一个三期二项模型,计算了投资者在遵循简单的投资组合管理策略(如买入并持有或固定组合)、而不是更复杂的最佳再分配计划时,可能会放弃多少对未来财富的预期。他还决定哪些固定收益工具更适合哪些投资者。通过在分析中对股票和利率做出假设,奥布莱恩得出了针对不同风险阈值投资者的最佳配置和固定收益策略的结论。他发现,在股票均值回归和利率不确定性盛行的环境中,投资者可以选择买入并持有或固定组合投资策略,而不会产生太多的经济成本。投资者的首选配置策略和固定收益方式应以其风险承受能力为指导。风险厌恶程度更高的人会选择固定组合配置策略,搭配期限较短的固定收益工具。更愿意接受风险的投资者将采用买入并持有的配置策略,同时持有一系列有顺序的短期票据。主题:投资组合管理/多资产配置、投资组合理论、投资组合构建
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Practical Applications of Buy-and-Hold and Constant-Mix May Be Better Allocation Strategies Than You Think
In Buy-and-Hold and Constant-Mix May Be Better Allocation Strategies Than You Think, in the June 2020 Multi-Asset Special Issue of The Journal of Portfolio Management, Thomas J. O’Brien of the University of Connecticut discusses the relative practicality and utility of various basic multiperiod allocation strategies. Applying a three-period binomial model, O’Brien calculates how much anticipated future wealth investors might forgo from following simpler portfolio-management strategies such as buy-and-hold or constant-mix, instead of a more complex optimal reallocation plan. He also determines which fixed-income vehicles would better suit which investors. By making assumptions about equities and interest rates in his analyses, O’Brien derives conclusions about the best allocation and fixed-income strategies for investors with differing risk thresholds. He finds that in an environment where equity mean-reversion and interest-rate uncertainty prevail, investors can pursue either buy-and-hold or constant-mix portfolio strategies without incurring much economic cost. Investors’ preferred allocation strategies and fixed-income approaches should be guided by their risk tolerance. The more risk averse would opt for a constant-mix allocation strategy paired with horizon-maturity fixed-income instruments. More-risk-accepting investors would apply a buy-and-hold allocation strategy coupled with a sequenced series of shorter-term bills. TOPICS: Portfolio management/multi-asset allocation, portfolio theory, portfolio construction
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