转包商的困境:2002-2015台湾企业的扩张

Thung-hong Lin, Bowei Hu
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摘要

自20世纪70年代以来,发展研究给人的印象是,台湾企业是活跃的中小企业(smes),具有灵活性,能够在竞争激烈的全球市场中成功生存。相反,我们使用2002-2015年2,969家顶级制造商的不平衡面板数据来探讨台湾企业在新世纪扩张规模和经营范围的原因和方式。本研究结果显示,台湾分包商正陷入经营规模扩张与台湾产业升级的两难困境。对于大多数中小企业来说,规模扩张可以以最小的努力利用中国大量的廉价劳动力,但却显著降低了企业的利润率。产业升级是资本密集型的,对少数台湾企业来说是有利可图的,但对大多数中小企业来说,吸引长期研发投资是一项挑战。“分包商困境”解释了台湾公司在美中贸易冲突中挣扎求生的原因。
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Subcontractors’ Dilemma: the Expansion of Taiwanese Firms 2002–2015
Since the 1970s development studies have conveyed an impression of Taiwanese firms as being active small and medium-sized enterprises (smes) with flexibility to successfully survive in a competitive global market. On the contrary, we use the unbalanced panel data of 2,969 top manufacturers during 2002–2015 to explore why and how Taiwanese firms expanded their scale and scope of operations in the new century. Our findings indicate that Taiwanese subcontractors are caught in a dilemma between the expansion of operational scale in China and industrial upgrading in Taiwan. Scale expansion can exploit the large cheap labour pool in China with minimal effort for most smes but significantly reduces the firms’ profit rates. Industrial upgrading is capital-intensive and profitable for a few Taiwanese firms but challenging for most smes to attract long-term investment in research and development. The ‘subcontractors’ dilemma’ explains Taiwanese firms’ struggles for survive in the US–China trade conflicts.
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