车辆流量的短期和长期实时预测系统

S. Bilotta, P. Nesi, I. Paoli
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引用次数: 2

摘要

当前,交通管理和可持续移动正成为智能交通系统的核心议题之一。由于今天的技术,可以收集实时数据来监控某些特定区域的交通状况。智能交通系统的一个重要挑战是预测道路交通变量的能力。交通方面的短期预测是一个复杂的非线性问题,在过去的几十年里一直是许多研究的主题。访问精确的交通流数据对于大量应用程序来说是必须的,这些应用程序必须保证高水平的服务,例如:交通流重建,这反过来又用于执行假设分析,条件路由等。为了派遣救援队和消防队,它们必须可靠和精确。本文通过使用和比较多种机器学习方法,提出了一种短期和长期交通流量预测估计的解决方案。该解决方案是在Sii-Mobility智慧城市交通和运输国家项目的背景下开发的,它被用于其他EC项目和解决方案,如Snap4City PCP EC和traair CEF,也用于佛罗伦萨地区的复制H2020 SCC1和控制室。
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Real-time System for Short- and Long-Term Prediction of Vehicle Flow
Nowadays, traffic management and sustainable mobility are becoming one of the central topics for intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Thanks to the today's technologies, it is possible to collect real-time data to monitor the traffic situation in some specific areas. An important challenge in ITS is the ability to predict road traffic variables. The short-term predictions of traffic aspects are a complex nonlinear task that has been the subject of many research efforts in the past few decades. Accessing to precise traffic flow data is mandatory for a large number of applications which have to guarantee high level of services such as: traffic flow reconstruction, which in turn is used to perform what-if analysis, conditioned routing, etc. They have to be reliable and precise for sending rescue teams and fire brigades. This paper proposes a solution for a short- and long-term traffic flow prediction estimation by using and comparing a number of machine learning approaches. The solution has been developed in the context of Sii-Mobility smart city mobility and transport national project and it is in use in other EC projects and solution such as Snap4City PCP EC and TRAFAIR CEF, but also for REPLICATE H2020 SCC1 and control room in Florence area.
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