J. Stahlhut, F. Gao, K. Hedman, B. Westendorf, G. Heydt, P. Sauer, G. Sheblé
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Uncertain power flows and transmission expansion planning
This paper presents results of a collaborative project on the subject of uncertain power flows in transmission expansion planning. The project includes the examination of the impact of uncertainty on available transfer capability and on financial income from transmission tariffs. Monte Carlo solutions are compared with analytical solutions using the IEEE 14-bus system with scaled versions of actual recorded load variation over one year.