核电站技术经济分析方法

Hari C. Mantripragada, E. Rubin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文重点对传统和新型核电站的技术经济分析方法进行了评述。这里比较的组织有:国际原子能机构;麻省理工学院;美国芝加哥大学能源部/橡树岭国家实验室;电力研究所(EPRI)和国际能源机构-核能机构。我们确定了过去几年发生变化的技术和市场因素,这些因素对核电的经济可行性有直接影响。在审查的基础上,我们确定了传统方法可以改进的领域,以更好地适应变化的全球情景,从而对核电站的可行性给出更现实的描述。我们发现各个组织在方法论方面有很多相似之处。差异主要体现在术语和汇总水平上。我们确定了一种成本计算方法,该方法结合了其他方法的突出特点,以更好地适应变化的全球情景,从而对核电站的可行性给出更现实的描述。
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Techno-Economic Analysis Methods for Nuclear Power Plants
This paper focuses on critically reviewing the prevailing techno-economic analysis methods used for traditional and new nuclear power plants (NPPs). The organizations whose methods are compared here are – International Atomic Energy Agency; Massachusetts Institute of Technology; University of Chicago, U.S. Department of Energy / Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and International Energy Agency – Nuclear Energy Agency. We identify technology and market factors that changed in the past few years that have a direct impact on the economic feasibility of nuclear power. Based on the review, we identify areas in which the traditional methods could be improved to better fit the changed global scenario, so as to give a more realistic picture of the feasibility of NPPs. We found that there are many similarities across organizations in terms of methodology. The differences were mainly regarding the terminology and the levels of aggregation. We identified a costing method which combines the salient features of other methods to better fit the changed global scenario, so as to give a more realistic picture of the feasibility of NPPs.
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