基于多特征点算法的雪兰莪地区登革热病例时空聚类检测

Nurul Husna Mohd Nor, H. Daud, Sami Ullah
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摘要

对时空病例的聚集性检测对于帮助热点地区发现任何季节性疫情(如登革热、covid-19、疟疾等)变得越来越重要。聚类检测分为空间聚类、时间聚类和时空聚类三种聚类类型。在本研究中,对马来西亚卫生部(MoH)获得的登革热数据集进行了时空聚类。总的来说,根据2009年至2013年雪兰莪地区报告的登革热病例对数据集进行分析,以发现研究区域之间的异常区域。在卫生组织和流行病学部门,聚集性疾病的检测对了解疾病病因和改进公共卫生干预策略具有重要作用。参数假设是聚类检测中常用的算法。然而,参数假设的主要限制是对数据集质量和聚类形状类型的限制。本研究旨在利用非参数算法(Multi-EigenSpot)检测马来西亚雪兰莪地区登革热病例的时空聚类或热点区域。利用MATLAB软件对该算法进行了实际应用。本研究发现,当算法在扫描窗口搜索过程中去除低风险区域和低风险时间点时,可以更有效地检测到最可能的聚类,以避免错误的检测聚类。不同的聚类范围和扫描窗口的几何形式对检测到的聚类有显著的贡献。本研究结果表明,Petaling区最有可能是马来西亚报告登革热病例最多的聚集性病例。©2022作者。
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Cluster detection for spatio-temporal dengue cases at Selangor districts using multi-EigenSpot algorithm
Detecting clusters for spatio-temporal cases are becoming important to help hotspots detection for any seasonal outbreaks' cases such as dengue, covid-19, malaria etc. Cluster detection is classified into three types of clustering groups, which are spatial clustering, temporal clustering, and spatio-temporal clustering. In this study, spatio-temporal clustering is carried out to dengue datasets that were obtained from the Ministry of Health (MoH), Malaysia. Generally, the datasets were analyzed based on dengue cases reported for Selangor districts in years 2009 until 2013 to detect abnormal regions between the study areas. In health organization and epidemiology sectors, detection of cluster disease plays an important role to understand disease etiology and improve public health interventions strategy. Parametric assumptions commonly implemented in most of algorithm in cluster detections. However, the main limitation of the parametric assumptions are restrictions on the datasets' quality and type of clusters shapes. This study aims to detect the spatio-temporal clustering or hotspot regions of dengue cases for the districts of Selangor, Malaysia using a nonparametric algorithm (Multi-EigenSpot) to detect dengue clusters. The algorithm was deployed to the datasets using MATLAB software. This study has found that the most likely clusters were detected more efficiently when the algorithm removed the low-risk regions and low-risk time-point during scanning window search to avoid any false detection clusters. Different scope of clustering and geometric form of scanning window has significant contribution to the detected clusters. The finding in this study indicates that Petaling district is the most likely clusters which contributed the most of the reported dengue cases in Malaysia. © 2022 Author(s).
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