金融集群模型的比较研究——以德黑兰证券交易所上市公司为例

Marziyeh Nourahmadi, Fatemeh Rasti, H. Sadeqi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

数据挖掘是从原始数据中生成信息和知识的强大工具之一,聚类作为数据挖掘中的标准方法之一,是将数据分组在不同的集群中的一种合适的方法,有助于理解和分析关系。股票市场聚类是投资领域的核心问题之一,因此利用股票市场聚类可以获得有用的信息来预测不同公司的股价变化,进而决定投资组合中正确的数量和份额,从而为私人投资者和金融专业人士提供帮助。本研究的目的是利用k -均值聚类、层次聚类和亲和传播聚类三种方法对德黑兰证券交易所上市公司进行聚类,并对这三种方法进行比较。为了进行本研究,我们使用了50家上市公司在2019-07-01 - 2020-09-29期间的调整价格。评价结果表明,K-means聚类获得的轮廓系数较高,因此优于其他方法对证券交易所数据的处理。在后续研究中,对具有相同共动性的股票对进行协整计算,最后利用t-SNE方法进行聚类。
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A Comparative Approach to Financial Clustering Models: (A Study of the Companies Listed on Tehran Stock Exchange)
Data mining is known as one of the powerful tools in generating information and knowledge from raw data, and Clustering as one of the standard methods in data mining is a suitable method for grouping data in different clusters that helps to understand and analyze relationships. It is one of the essential issues in the field of investment, so by using stock market clustering, helpful information can be obtained to predict changes in stock prices of different companies and then on how to decide the correct number and shares in the portfolio to private investors and financial professionals' help. The purpose of this study is to cluster the companies listed on the Tehran stock exchange using three methods of K-means Clustering, Hierarchical clustering, and Affinity propagation clustering and compare these three methods with each other. To conduct this research, the adjusted price of 50 listed companies for the period 2019-07-01 to 2020-09-29 has been used. The evaluation results show that the obtained silhouette coefficient for K-means Clustering is higher and, therefore, better than other methods for stock exchange data. In the continuation of the research, calculating the co-integration of stock pairs that have the same co-movement with each other were identified, and finally, clusters were compiled using the t-SNE method.
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