在全球变暖之后限制全球降温是对短期和长期温室气体的过度区分

A. Michaelowa
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引用次数: 5

摘要

目前的气候政策没有考虑到,在温室气体排放减少到大气浓度稳定然后开始下降的程度之后,温室气体的自然衰变将导致一个跨越几个世纪的全球冷却阶段。这种变冷将导致人类和生态系统的破坏,这取决于温度变化的速度。因此,当前的气候政策应侧重于减少短期和中期的温室气体,同时免除长期的温室气体。这降低了冷却速度。另一个政策选择是将碳封存在地质储层中,以便将来有控制地释放。
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Limiting Global Cooling after Global Warming is Over - Differentiating between Short- and Long-Lived Greenhouse Gases
Current climate policy does not take into account that, after greenhouse gas emissions have been reduced to an extent that atmospheric concentrations stabilise and then start to fall, natural decay of greenhouse gases will lead to a global cooling phase spanning several centuries. This cooling will lead to damage to humans and ecosystems that depends on the rate of temperature change. Current climate policy should thus concentrate on the reduction of short- and medium-lived greenhouse gases, while exempting long-lived gases. This reduces the cooling rate. Another policy option is to sequester carbon in geological reservoirs that allow controlled release in the future.
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