论或有保证的价值及其局限性

W. C. Otter
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摘要

如果您认为以下两个重要问题的解决方案值得在您的杂志中占有一席之地,它们将为您服务。你会注意到,已故的戴维·琼斯先生在他的著作《年金和回归支付》的第一卷第140页和第184页中,已经解决了这两个问题,但其过程非常费力,所得公式完全不适合实际使用。此后,彼得·哈代先生在《保证》杂志的第二卷中解决了第二个问题,他采用的方法与上面提到的方法一样费力,如果不是更费力的话;然而,他声称自己是第一个将结果付诸实践的人。上次这个问题是由贵杂志最后一期的特约记者t·b·斯普拉格先生以一种非常优雅的方式解决的,没有任何分析,之后我再试图给出一个更简洁或优雅的解决方案就没有意义了。但对于他所使用的调查模式是否与学生第一次阅读问题时所想到的一样,而没有事先看到分析,我有些怀疑,因此我被说服向您发送以下关于这两个问题的一般和简短的分析解决方案,认为它们可能会引起您的精算读者的兴趣。我是,先生,您忠实的仆人,WM。柯蒂斯·奥特,F.R.A.S. 4,特拉法加广场,w。
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On the Value of Contingent Assurances with Certain Limitations
SIR,—Should you consider the accompanying solutions to the two following important problems worthy of a place in your Magazine, they are at your service. You will observe that both of these problems have been previously solved by the late Mr. David Jones, in the first volume of his work on Annuities and Reversionary Payments, pages 140 and 184, but by processes very laborious, and resulting in formulae totally unfit for practical use. Mr. Peter Hardy has since solved the second problem, in the second volume of the Assurance Magazine, by a method equally if not more laborious than that above referred to; however, he possesses the claim of being the first who has put the result in a practical form. This problem was last solved in a very elegant manner, without analysis, by your very able and talented correspondent Mr. T. B. Sprague, in the last number of your Magazine, after which it would be idle for me to attempt giving a more concise or elegant solution; but having some doubt as to whether the mode of investigation he has made use of is such as would occur to the student on first reading the problem, without having previously seen the analysis, I have been induced to send you the following general and brief analytical solutions to the two problems in question, thinking they may prove interesting to your actuarial readers. I am, Sir, Your obedient Servant, WM. CURTIS OTTER, F.R.A.S. 4, Trafalgar Square, w.c.
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On the Results of the Operations of the Gotha Life Assurance Bank for the first Twenty-five Years of its existence, particularly with respect to the Mortality amongst the Lives Assured Authorship of the Treatise on Probability Published by the Society for the Diffusion of Useful Knowledge On the value of contingent reversionary interests On the Value of Mr. Gompertz's Formula for the Number Living in Terms of the Mortality according to Age, compared with the Value of a similar Formula published in 1832 I. On the First Parliamentary Committee of Insurance; with Remarks illustrative of other facts connected with the History of Insurance; II. A Review of some Recommendations of the Select Committee of the House of Commons on Assurance Associations, 1853
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