考虑截短和截短寿命数据的耦合器转向节失效分析

Dongdong Li, Qi Li, E. Mingcheng, Zengqiang Jiang, Jing Ma
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引用次数: 1

摘要

铁路货车轴重增加、载重增大、速度加快等对车钩转向节的可靠性要求较高。然而,由于管理粗大,在寿命数据不完整的情况下,对联轴器转向节进行失效分析十分困难。本文采用极大似然估计方法对左截断、区间截尾和右截尾的混合数据进行处理。参数估计采用Newton-Raphson法和自举重采样法。实例分析结果表明,所提出的方法是合理的,能够反映实际情况。这些结果对于进一步细化部件剩余寿命维护策略,从而降低部件维护成本,提高部件可靠性具有重要的现实应用价值。
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Failure Analysis of Coupler Knuckle Considering Truncated and Censored Lifetime Data
Increased axle load, heavy load, and increased speed of railway wagons need high reliability of coupler knuckle. However, the failure analysis of coupler knuckle is troublesome under incomplete lifetime data due to extensive management. In this paper, maximum likelihood estimation method is employed to with a mixture data of left truncation, interval censoring, and right censoring. The parameter estimations are done by Newton-Raphson method and bootstrap resampling. The results of case study shows that the proposed method is reasonable and could reflect the reality. These results have important application value in reality for further refinement of the maintenance strategy according to the remaining life of components, thereby reducing the maintenance cost and improving the reliability of components.
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