蝇纸效应现象:来自印度尼西亚的证据

Ansharullah Tasri
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摘要

摘要财政分权是自治政策的实施方式之一。国家给予地方政府提高财政能力的机会。原始地方政府收入是地方政府为提高地方政府独立性、促进社会福利而拥有的财政力量。为了加速地方政府财政平等独立,中央政府以划拨资金的形式拨付转移资金,以弥补地方政府未完成的支出。然而,面临的问题是,地方政府的支出管理仍然更多地受到DAU而不是PAD的影响。这表明地方政府仍然依赖中央政府来履行支出,称为“苍蝇纸效应”。本研究旨在通过确定印尼省级政府是否存在蝇纸,分析PAD和DAU对地方政府支出的影响。本研究采用广义最小二乘法对面板数据进行分析回归。使用的数据是2008-2017年印度尼西亚34个省份的面板数据。根据结果估计,PAD和DAU对地方政府支出有显著的正向影响。然而,与PAD相比,DAU对地方政府支出的影响更大。这表明印度尼西亚省级政府存在“蝇纸效应”现象,地方政府支出反应受DAU的影响大于PAD。之所以会出现这种情况,是因为省政府仍然依赖中央政府来支付其高DAU转移支付。本研究的结论是,印尼的权力下放政策尚未取得成效。因此,政府需要调整分权政策,以提高地区财政独立性。
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The Flypaper Effect Phenomenon: Evidence from Indonesia
Abstract One of the implementations of autonomy policy is fiscal decentralization. The State gives chance to every local government for improving its fiscal ability. Original Local Government Revenue (PAD) is fiscal potency owned local government to improve local government independence to promote welfare to society. To accelerate fiscal independence of local government equally, the central government sends transfer funds in the form of General Allocation Funds (DAU) which aims to comply local government expenditure that has not fulfilled. However, problems faced is local government expenditure management still much more affected by DAU rather than PAD. It indicates that local government still depends on central government to comply expenditure called flypaper effect. This research aims to analyze the effect of PAD and DAU on local government expenditure by identifying whether occurs flypaper on provincial government in Indonesia. The method used in this research is analysis regression of panel data with Generalized Least Square (GLS). Data used is panel data from 34 provinces in Indonesia between 2008-2017. Based on results estimation, PAD and DAU positively and significantly affect local government expenditure. However, the DAU more affects local government expenditure compared with PAD. This exhibits that flypaper effect phenomenon occurred on provincial government in Indonesia which local government expenditure response more affected by DAU than PAD. It is happening due to the provincial government still relies on central government to comply its expenditure illustrated with high DAU transfers. This research concludes that decentralization policy in Indonesia is not effective yet. Thus, the government needs to adjust decentralization policy in order to improve regional fiscal independence.
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