基于卫星云量异常监测的强震短期预报方法的发展前景

V. Lyalko, A. Vorobiev
{"title":"基于卫星云量异常监测的强震短期预报方法的发展前景","authors":"V. Lyalko, A. Vorobiev","doi":"10.36023/ujrs.2022.9.3.217","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Forecasting earthquakes of various intensities will continue to be an urgent task that has yet to bene resolved. The use of various forecasting methods makes it possible to conduct analysis and warnings more objectively and reliably. Methods of short-term prediction of strong earthquakes based on satellite monitoring of cloudiness anomalies can be used with some success. Based on the research results, it was established that before strong earthquakes, linear cloudiness anomalies are observed over the Earth's deep fault zones, which can be used for short-term earthquake forecasting. The most effective method of studying cloudiness anomalies is the use of satellite methods. As a result of the analysis of linear cloudiness anomalies, a conclusion was made about the possibility of a regional short-term forecast of strong and catastrophic earthquakes with an assessment of the possible magnitude and approximate position of the future earthquake. The reliability of the forecast depends on the tectonic structure of the region and atmospheric conditions. It is important to be able to forecast the magnitude of the future earthquake based on the length of the cloudiness anomaly. It was established that the length of the cloudiness anomaly before a catastrophic earthquake allows one to predict the magnitude, which is very important for forecasting the level of seismic danger in the coming days.","PeriodicalId":113561,"journal":{"name":"Ukrainian journal of remote sensing","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prospects for developing methods for short-term forecasting of strong earthquakes based on satellite monitoring of cloudiness anomalies\",\"authors\":\"V. Lyalko, A. Vorobiev\",\"doi\":\"10.36023/ujrs.2022.9.3.217\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Forecasting earthquakes of various intensities will continue to be an urgent task that has yet to bene resolved. The use of various forecasting methods makes it possible to conduct analysis and warnings more objectively and reliably. Methods of short-term prediction of strong earthquakes based on satellite monitoring of cloudiness anomalies can be used with some success. Based on the research results, it was established that before strong earthquakes, linear cloudiness anomalies are observed over the Earth's deep fault zones, which can be used for short-term earthquake forecasting. The most effective method of studying cloudiness anomalies is the use of satellite methods. As a result of the analysis of linear cloudiness anomalies, a conclusion was made about the possibility of a regional short-term forecast of strong and catastrophic earthquakes with an assessment of the possible magnitude and approximate position of the future earthquake. The reliability of the forecast depends on the tectonic structure of the region and atmospheric conditions. It is important to be able to forecast the magnitude of the future earthquake based on the length of the cloudiness anomaly. It was established that the length of the cloudiness anomaly before a catastrophic earthquake allows one to predict the magnitude, which is very important for forecasting the level of seismic danger in the coming days.\",\"PeriodicalId\":113561,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ukrainian journal of remote sensing\",\"volume\":\"17 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-09-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ukrainian journal of remote sensing\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.36023/ujrs.2022.9.3.217\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ukrainian journal of remote sensing","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.36023/ujrs.2022.9.3.217","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

预测各种烈度的地震将继续是一项尚未解决的紧迫任务。多种预报方法的运用,使分析和预警更加客观、可靠。基于卫星云量异常监测的短期强震预报方法可以取得一定的成功。研究结果表明,在强震前,地球深部断裂带观测到线性云量异常,可用于短期地震预报。研究云量异常最有效的方法是利用卫星方法。通过对线性云量异常的分析,得出了通过估计未来地震的可能震级和大致位置,对区域性强、特大地震进行短期预报的可能性。预报的可靠性取决于该地区的构造和大气条件。根据云量异常的长度预测未来地震的震级是很重要的。研究结果表明,大地震发生前的云量异常长度可以预测地震的震级,这对预测未来几天的地震危险性具有重要意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Prospects for developing methods for short-term forecasting of strong earthquakes based on satellite monitoring of cloudiness anomalies
Forecasting earthquakes of various intensities will continue to be an urgent task that has yet to bene resolved. The use of various forecasting methods makes it possible to conduct analysis and warnings more objectively and reliably. Methods of short-term prediction of strong earthquakes based on satellite monitoring of cloudiness anomalies can be used with some success. Based on the research results, it was established that before strong earthquakes, linear cloudiness anomalies are observed over the Earth's deep fault zones, which can be used for short-term earthquake forecasting. The most effective method of studying cloudiness anomalies is the use of satellite methods. As a result of the analysis of linear cloudiness anomalies, a conclusion was made about the possibility of a regional short-term forecast of strong and catastrophic earthquakes with an assessment of the possible magnitude and approximate position of the future earthquake. The reliability of the forecast depends on the tectonic structure of the region and atmospheric conditions. It is important to be able to forecast the magnitude of the future earthquake based on the length of the cloudiness anomaly. It was established that the length of the cloudiness anomaly before a catastrophic earthquake allows one to predict the magnitude, which is very important for forecasting the level of seismic danger in the coming days.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Оперативний супутниковий геомоніторинг наслідків руйнування греблі Каховської гідроелектростанції Обґрунтування вибору полігонів, визначення їх критеріїв і параметрів для проведення досліджень з оцінювання вуглеводневого потенціалу надр шляхом комбінування геолого-геофізичної та аерокосмічної інформації Simulation of the vulnerability of the steppe landscape and climate zone of Ukraine to climate changes based on space image data Thanks to the Reviewers of the Journal in 2023 Спектральна модель динамічних компонентів ландшафтів на основі багатоспектральних космічних знімків Землі
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1