千禧一代:与前几代人相比,千禧一代家庭经济状况的信息

Charles A. Jeszeck, Michael J. Collins, J. Rider, K. McQueeney, Layla Moughari, Jessica Mausner
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引用次数: 1

摘要

最近的研究表明,从三个关键指标来看,美国的经济流动性是有限的。具体来说,千禧一代(出生于1982年至2000年之间的人)可能没有和前几代人一样的机会在经济上比他们的父母过得更好。根据美国政府问责局审查的研究,在过去40年里,同年龄比父母挣钱多的人的比例(绝对流动性)有所下降,而在收入分配中向上移动的机会(相对流动性)一直保持不变。通过第三种衡量经济流动性的方法(代际收入弹性),研究人员发现,一个人成年后的收入与父母的收入有关,三分之一到三分之二的经济地位是由父母传给孩子的。对于收入最低和最高的群体来说尤其如此。研究人员还发现,种族和地理是个人经济流动性的关键决定因素。千禧一代的财务状况与X一代(1965-1981年出生)和婴儿潮一代(1946-1964年出生)不同,鉴于经济流动性持平或下降,随着年龄的增长,他们的财务状况存在不确定性。美国政府问责局将年龄在25-34岁的千禧一代与前两代人进行了比较,结果显示,千禧一代家庭比其他几代人更有可能接受过大学教育;然而,这三代人的收入基本持平,这意味着千禧一代还没有从大学毕业生潜在的额外终身收入中受益。千禧一代家庭的净资产中位数和平均水平明显低于同龄的X一代家庭,尤其是那些净资产较低的家庭。婴儿潮一代和X一代的最低四分之一家庭的净资产中位数约为零,但千禧一代的净资产中位数为负值,这表明千禧一代低净值家庭的债务中位数大于资产。在资产方面,与前几代人相比,千禧一代拥有住房的比例明显较低,但拥有退休资源的比例与X一代和婴儿潮一代相当。最后,千禧一代的学生贷款债务更有可能超过他们的年收入。从长远来看,这些因素将如何影响千禧一代的财务状况,包括退休,还有待观察。
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Millennial Generation: Information on the Economic Status of Millennial Households Compared to Previous Generations
Recent research indicates that, across three key measures, economic mobility in the United States is limited. Specifically, the Millennial generation (those born between 1982 and 2000) might not have the same opportunity as previous generations had to fare better economically than their parents. According to studies GAO reviewed, the share of people making more money than their parents at the same age (absolute mobility) has declined over the last 40 years, and the chances of moving up the income distribution (relative mobility) have been flat over time. Using a third measure of economic mobility (intergenerational income elasticity), researchers have found that income in adulthood is linked to how much a person's parents made, and that between one-third and two-thirds of economic status is passed down from parents to children. This is especially true of the lowest and highest income groups. Researchers also identified race and geography as key determinants of an individual's economic mobility. Millennials have different financial circumstances than Generation X (born 1965-1981) and Baby Boomers (born 1946-1964), and in light of flat or declining economic mobility, there is uncertainty about how they will fare financially as they age. A snapshot of data that allowed GAO to compare Millennials aged 25-34 to the previous two generations at similar ages showed that Millennial households were more likely than other generations to be college educated; however, incomes have remained flat across the three generations, implying that Millennials have not yet benefited from the potential additional lifetime income earned by college graduates. Millennial households had significantly lower median and average net worth than Generation X households at similar ages, especially among those with low net worth. Median net worth for the lowest quartile of Baby Boomers and Generation X was around zero, but it was substantially negative for Millennials, indicating that debt was greater than assets for the median low net worth Millennial household. Regarding assets, a significantly lower percentage of Millennials owned homes compared to previous generations at similar ages, but had retirement resources at rates comparable to Generation X and Baby Boomers. Finally, Millennials were more likely to have student loan debt that exceeded their annual income. It remains to be seen how these factors will affect Millennials' financial circumstances in the long run, including retirement.
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