主权债务的金融稳定

Ryuichiro Izumi
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引用次数: 4

摘要

政府担保还是金融监管是防止银行业危机的更有效方法?我在政府财政状况与银行业健康状况之间存在负反馈循环的情况下研究了这个问题。我构建了一个金融中介模型,在这个模型中,政府发行债务,并可能违约。银行持有部分债务,这将它们的健康与政府的健康联系在一起。反过来,政府的税收收入取决于银行能够融资的投资数量。我比较了政府担保、流动性监管以及这些政策组合在防止自行发生的银行挤兑方面的有效性。在某些情况下,需要结合使用这两种策略来防止挤兑。在其他情况下,流动性监管本身是有效的,而增加担保将使金融体系变得脆弱。
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Financial Stability with Sovereign Debt
Are government guarantees or fnancial regulation a more effective way to prevent banking crises? I study this question in the presence of a negative feedback loop between the fscal position of the government and the health of the banking sector. I construct a model of fnancial intermediation in which the government issues, and may default on, debt. Banks hold some of this debt, which ties their health to that of the government. The government's tax revenue, in turn, depends on the quantity of investment that banks are able to fnance. I compare the effectiveness of government guarantees, liquidity regulation, and a combination of these policies in preventing self-fulflling bank runs. In some cases, a combination of the two policies is needed to prevent a run. In other cases, liquidity regulation alone is effective and adding guarantees would make the fnancial system fragile.
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